Life Veda
Investment Analysis, Market Insights, and Trading Strategies
中国铝业（601600）月线突破、周线宽通道与日线 TR 观察（2026-03-01） | Aluminum Corporation of China (601600) Monthly Breakout, Weekly Broad Channel, and Daily TR Notes (2026-03-01)
基本面备注 | Fundamental Note
基本面分析：我的感觉中国铝业应该突破了长期的重要价位，10.00 的位置，所以可能会有一个非常大的牛市。基本面这里先留个空白，后续再补。
Fundamental note: my current read is that Aluminum Corporation of China has likely broken a major long-term level around 10.00, which may open a larger bull-cycle scenario. I will keep the fundamental section open for later updates.
月线分析 | Monthly Read
周线分析 | Weekly Read
周线，中国铝业是一个宽上行通道，目前还没有看到第三推，而且考虑到月线的突破行情走势，所以可以长期关注。
On the weekly chart, Aluminum Corporation of China is in a broad bull channel and the third push has not appeared yet. Given the monthly breakout background, it remains a name worth tracking over a longer horizon.
日线分析 | Daily Read
日线这边有一个问题就是因为周线是宽的上行通道，所以日线的结构是 Bull Channel + Trading Range 的组合走势。现在很确定是在一个 TR 当中；如果不考虑 0205 那个空头陷阱，那么 TR 的底部应该在 12.5-14.3 左右。之前上下都有陷阱（一个多头陷阱、一个空头陷阱），但都没有改变上升通道的事实。
A key daily-chart issue is that the weekly broad up-channel creates a Bull Channel + Trading Range structure on the daily timeframe. It is now clearly in a TR; if we exclude the 0205 bear trap, the TR floor is roughly 12.5-14.3. We have seen both a bull trap and a bear trap, but neither has broken the broader up-channel structure.
这个 TR 还有一个相对特殊的点：大量 K 线基本都运行在 EMA20 之上，所以后续要观察它是否能继续以更正常的宽通道方式向上推进。目前这里可以理解为突破点，如果按突破点看，后续就要重点看跟随质量。
Another special feature of this TR is that many bars are still running above the EMA20, so the next thing to watch is whether price can resume a more standard broad-channel advance. This zone can be treated as a breakout point for now, and if so, follow-through quality becomes the key signal.