MES / ES 日报（2026-02-25） | MES / ES Daily Analysis (2026-02-25)

图表 | Chart

• 在 TradingView 打开图表（2026-02-25）
• Open the TradingView chart (2026-02-25)

结构判断 | Structural Read

本次分析以 ES 图表为参考，用于观察 MES 的价格行为结构。 This analysis uses the ES chart as the reference for observing MES price action structure.

• 昨日收出大阳线，但收盘位置仍在日线 EMA20 下方。
• Yesterday closed with a strong bull bar, but the close is still below the daily EMA20.
• 当前更值得关注的是：市场可能已经形成至少一个 60 分钟级别的宽通道向下。
• What matters more now is that the market may have already formed at least one 60-minute broad bear channel.
• 如果该宽通道成立，价格后续有较大概率向下突破此前日线 TR（Trading Range） 区间底部。
• If this broad channel is valid, price has a higher probability of later breaking below the prior daily TR (Trading Range) bottom.

交易含义（跟踪重点） | Trading Implications (What to Track)

• 由于市场已经横盘较久，区间突破后的延续性值得重点观察。
• Since the market has been ranging for a long time, the follow-through after a range breakout deserves close attention.
• 若向下突破日线区间下沿并出现跟随卖盘，整体结构将更偏向下行。
• If price breaks below the daily range bottom and gets follow-through selling, the overall structure becomes more bearish.
• 在确认突破前，仍需警惕区间内反复与假突破。
• Before breakout confirmation, remain alert to repeated swings and false breakouts inside the range.

后续计划 | Next Steps

本篇为简要结构判断，后续继续按日跟踪并更新。 This note is a brief structural assessment. I will continue tracking and updating it on a daily basis.

相关链接 | Related Links

• Price Action Analysis
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