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Investment Analysis, Market Insights, and Trading Strategies
NVDA 周日线跟踪：关键缺口支撑与 170 破位风险（2026-03-02） | NVDA Weekly-Daily Watch: Key Gap Support and 170 Breakdown Risk (2026-03-02)
周线观察 | Weekly Read
周线上有明显缺口：2024 年高点在 152.65，2025 年低点在 164.17，而 164.17 也是一个重要多头支撑参考。
A clear weekly gap is visible: the 2024 high is 152.65 and the 2025 low is 164.17, with 164.17 also acting as an important bull support reference.
近期卖方压力确实偏强，且价格已经跌破 EMA20。
Recent selling pressure has been notable, and price has already fallen below EMA20.
相对积极的一点是，目前还没有形成典型的牛市 EMA20 缺口形态，因此周线大级别上还不能直接判定为彻底转空，但结构已明显脆弱。
A modest positive point is that a classic bull-market EMA20 gap pattern has not fully formed yet, so the higher-timeframe weekly context is not conclusively bearish, though it is clearly fragile.
日线观察 | Daily Read
日线上升趋势早已结束，目前更像长期交易区间。
The daily uptrend has ended for a while, and the structure now resembles an extended trading range.
若有效跌破 170 一线，日线将更明确转入空头趋势。
If price breaks decisively below 170, the daily chart would more clearly transition into a bear trend.
当前交易假设可先定义为“日线 TR，观察是否向下突破”。
For now, the practical thesis is “daily TR, then monitor for downside breakout.”